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Hurricane Trudy and Las Cruces: will it affect me?
Latest official NHC advisory: Friday, October 16 at 6:00 PM MDT. We check every 10 minutes.
Hurricane Trudy · Category 1
No official watches or warnings
- Official alert
- No watch or warning for this area
- The center would pass
- 720 miles from Las Cruces
- When (approx.)
- Wednesday, Oct 21, 12 PM MDT
- Strength at that time
- Tropical Depression, winds of 25 mph
- Inside the cone
- No
- Distance now
- 1225 miles
What to do in Las Cruces
- There are no official watches or warnings for your area from this storm.
- Rain and surf can still reach far from the storm: follow your local National Weather Service office.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Simon · Tropical depression
No official watches or warnings
- Official alert
- No watch or warning for this area
- Distance
- The center is 775 miles away and moving farther away
- Inside the cone
- No
What to do in Las Cruces
- There are no official watches or warnings for your area from this storm.
- Rain and surf can still reach far from the storm: follow your local National Weather Service office.
No National Weather Service alerts for Las Cruces right now.
No warnings, watches or advisories are in effect. This page updates itself every 10 minutes.
Official weather alerts for Las Cruces
No National Weather Service warnings, watches or advisories for Las Cruces right now.
Storm Prediction Center · today's severe-storm outlook · issued 1 h ago
Las Cruces is outside today's thunderstorm and severe-storm areas.
Official SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (NOAA), valid until Sat, Oct 17, 6:00 AM MDT. It shows the chance of severe storms in the area, not a warning for your street. SPC outlook
U.S. Drought Monitor · map of October 13
80% of New Mexico is in drought, including 8.3% in extreme or exceptional drought.
Share of the state's area. Updated every Thursday by the U.S. Drought Monitor (National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA). Drought builds over weeks and months: one rainy day rarely ends it.
Hurricane Trudy forecast, step by step
| Date and time (MDT) | Strength | Max wind | Distance to Las Cruces |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now Fri, Oct 16, 3:00 PM | Category 1 | 85 mph | 1220 mi |
| Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM | Category 1 | 85 mph | 1185 mi |
| Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM | Category 1 | 90 mph | 1080 mi |
| Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 AM | Category 1 | 90 mph | 960 mi |
| Sun, Oct 18, 12:00 PM | Category 1 | 85 mph | 875 mi |
| Mon, Oct 19, 12:00 AM | Tropical storm | 70 mph | 815 mi |
| Mon, Oct 19, 12:00 PM | Tropical storm | 50 mph | 790 mi |
| Tue, Oct 20, 12:00 PM | Tropical depression | 35 mph | 750 mi |
| Wed, Oct 21, 12:00 PM | Tropical depression | 25 mph | 720 mi |
Hazards on land (NHC)
- Rain: 4 to 8 inches, with isolated totals up to 15 inches across Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. Flash flooding and mudslides are possible, especially in hilly terrain.
- Storm surge: the NHC warns of coastal flooding from rising water, with large and destructive waves near the coast.
- Surf: the NHC warns of life-threatening surf and rip currents. Stay out of the water.
Full NHC text
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning area by late Saturday or Saturday night, with tropical storm conditions spreading across the area on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area by late tonight or early Saturday. Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area by late Saturday, with tropical storm conditions beginning on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area on Sunday.
RAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher totals around 15 inches along and near the southwest Mexican coast in Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.
STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and will spread northward toward west-central Mexico during the next few days. These swells will cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Official watches and warnings
- Hurricane Warning
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes
Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area, usually within 36 hours.
- Hurricane Watch
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Punta San Telmo
Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area; issued about 48 hours before tropical-storm-force winds are expected.
- Tropical Storm Warning
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Zihuatanejo
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area within 36 hours.
- Tropical Storm Watch
- The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area within 48 hours.
Weather in Las Cruces now
Rain forecast for Las Cruces · next days
Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow National Weather Service.
What do the inches mean?
As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.
Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.
What is normal in October in Las Cruces
changing season Dry, windy days keep wildfire risk high, and the first snowstorms arrive in the mountains.
El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).
In New Mexico and the southern Rockies it tends to bring more winter snow; the northern Rockies tend to be warmer and drier.
These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.
Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.
Official sources for New Mexico
Emergency: 911