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Will a hurricane or tropical storm affect Turks and Caicos?

Latest official NHC advisory: Thursday, October 15 at 11:00 PM EDT. We check every 10 minutes.

No active hurricanes or tropical storms are affecting Turks and Caicos right now.

There are 2 active storms, but their forecast tracks stay more than 930 miles from Turks and Caicos. This page updates itself every 10 minutes.

ProvidencialesProvidencialesCockburn TownCockburn Town84°84°
Turks and Caicos: cities and NHC analysis

Weather in Turks and Caicos now

National Hurricane Center analysis · 3 hours ago

  • Cold front: the NHC mentions a front over the Atlantic.A cold front is the leading edge of colder, drier air: it brings a line of showers or storms, a wind shift and cooler temperatures.
Full NHC discussion text

ATLANTIC OCEAN: A surface trough from 31N52W to near 26N62W is inducing scattered moderate to isolated strong convection within 120 nm E of its axis. A 1012 mb low pressure centered near 21N37W is also generated scattered moderate convection N of its center to about 25N, between 32W and 28W, where fresh E winds and locally rough seas are also pressure. Elsewhere, a mainly weak pressure gradient is leading to moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, a ridge will continue to dominate the forecast waters through Fri. A cold front will reach the NE waters on Fri with little change in winds and seas. A stronger cold front will move into the waters off northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat morning, and reach from near Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough to very rough seas will follow the front with gale conditions possible in the vicinity of 31N70W by Sun night.

Source: Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic) · (Pacific)

What is normal in October in Turks and Caicos

wet season Peak of hurricane season. Storms can bring dangerous storm surge to low-lying islands.

We are in the Atlantic hurricane season (June 1 to November 30).

El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).

In the Bahamas it tends to bring a wetter, cooler winter. El Niño usually means fewer Atlantic hurricanes (but not none: one landfall is enough).

These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.

Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.

Where will it rain most? Forecast by city

Total rain each day, in inches. Wettest cities first.

CityTomorrowSaturdaySunday
Providenciales0.0400.12
Cockburn Town0.0400.04

Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow Department of Disaster Management and Emergencies.

What do the inches mean?

As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.

Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.

Cities in Turks and Caicos

Official sources for Turks and Caicos

Emergency: 911

Be prepared