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Weather alerts in Minnesota today: does anything affect me?

National Weather Service

Official Freeze Warning in effect for Minnesota.

What it means

Always follow your local National Weather Service office and local officials. Details below.

MinneapolisMinneapolisSt. PaulSt. PaulDuluthDuluthRochesterRochesterSt. CloudSt. Cloud45°43°41°41°
Minnesota: cities, today's storm risk and NWS warnings

Official weather alerts for Minnesota

Storm Prediction Center · today's severe-storm outlook · issued 1 h ago

None of these cities are inside today's thunderstorm or severe-storm areas.

Official SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (NOAA), valid until Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 AM CDT. It shows the chance of severe storms in the area, not a warning for your street. SPC outlook

U.S. Drought Monitor · map of October 13

63% of Minnesota is in drought, including 2.5% in extreme or exceptional drought.

Abnormally dry80%
Moderate drought or worse63%
Severe drought or worse27%
Extreme drought or worse2.5%
Exceptional drought or worse0%

Share of the state's area. Updated every Thursday by the U.S. Drought Monitor (National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA). Drought builds over weeks and months: one rainy day rarely ends it.

Weather in Minnesota now

What is normal in October in Minnesota

changing season Fall: usually calmer, with occasional severe storms along autumn cold fronts. The first freeze and snow arrive by November.

El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).

In the Midwest it tends to bring a milder winter with less snow, especially in the north.

These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.

Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.

Where will it rain most? Forecast by city

Total rain each day, in inches. Wettest cities first.

CityTomorrowSundayMonday
Minneapolis000
St. Paul000
Duluth000
Rochester000
St. Cloud000

Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow National Weather Service.

What do the inches mean?

As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.

Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.

Cities in Minnesota

Official sources for Minnesota

Emergency: 911

Be prepared