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Weather alerts in Arkansas today: does anything affect me?

National Weather Service

Official Red Flag Warning in effect for Arkansas.

What it means

Always follow your local National Weather Service office and local officials. Details below.

Little RockLittle RockFayettevilleFayettevilleFort SmithFort SmithJonesboroJonesboroHot SpringsHot Springs57°50°54°55°55°
Arkansas: cities, today's storm risk and NWS warnings

Official weather alerts for Arkansas

1 advisory or statement

Storm Prediction Center · today's severe-storm outlook · issued 1 h ago

None of these cities are inside today's thunderstorm or severe-storm areas.

Official SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (NOAA), valid until Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 AM CDT. It shows the chance of severe storms in the area, not a warning for your street. SPC outlook

U.S. Drought Monitor · map of October 13

95% of Arkansas is in drought, including 65% in extreme or exceptional drought.

Abnormally dry100%
Moderate drought or worse95%
Severe drought or worse91%
Extreme drought or worse65%
Exceptional drought or worse6.6%

Share of the state's area. Updated every Thursday by the U.S. Drought Monitor (National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA). Drought builds over weeks and months: one rainy day rarely ends it.

Weather in Arkansas now

What is normal in October in Arkansas

changing season Usually the driest stretch of the year. A second severe-weather season starts in late fall.

El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).

In the Mid-South it tends to bring a wetter winter.

These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.

Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.

Where will it rain most? Forecast by city

Total rain each day, in inches. Wettest cities first.

CityTomorrowSundayMonday
Little Rock000
Fayetteville000
Fort Smith000
Jonesboro000
Hot Springs000

Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow National Weather Service.

What do the inches mean?

As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.

Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.

Cities in Arkansas

Official sources for Arkansas

Emergency: 911

Be prepared