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Will a hurricane or tropical storm affect Belize?
Latest official NHC advisory: Thursday, October 15 at 9:00 PM CST. We check every 10 minutes.
Hurricane Trudy · Category 2
Trudy would pass 870 miles from San Ignacio; there are no official watches or warnings for Belize.
The center of Trudy is now 870 miles away and the forecast takes it farther away.
What to do
- There are no official watches or warnings for your area from this storm.
- Rain and surf can still reach far from the storm: follow your local National Weather Service office.
Your city: how close Trudy would pass
| City | Official status | Would pass | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Ignacio | No official watches or warnings | 870 mi | now (moving away) |
| Punta Gorda | No official watches or warnings | 875 mi | now (moving away) |
| Belmopan | No official watches or warnings | 890 mi | now (moving away) |
| Placencia | No official watches or warnings | 910 mi | now (moving away) |
| Orange Walk | No official watches or warnings | 915 mi | 16 Fri, 12 AM |
| Dangriga | No official watches or warnings | 920 mi | now (moving away) |
| Belize City | No official watches or warnings | 930 mi | now (moving away) |
| Corozal | No official watches or warnings | 930 mi | 16 Fri, 12 AM |
| San Pedro | No official watches or warnings | 950 mi | now (moving away) |
Distance between the city and the nearest point of the forecast track of the storm's center. Wind, rain and surf reach far beyond the center.
Weather in Belize now
National Hurricane Center analysis · 3 hours ago
The latest NHC analysis shows no tropical waves, convergence zone or fronts near this area.
Full NHC discussion text
CARIBBEAN SEA: A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean is supporting scattered moderate convection N of 17N and W of 80W. Otherwise, the seasonal pressure gradient is leading to moderate to fresh trades through the basin, with some strong easterly winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate seas dominate, highest in the south-central basin.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and Fri, then mainly moderate to fresh winds will prevail through the upcoming weekend. Rough seas are expected offshore Colombia with the strongest winds. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a surface trough will continue to affect the NW Caribbean tonight and Fri. Gusty winds and locally rough seas will be associated with this convective activity.
Source: Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic) · (Pacific)
What is normal in October in Belize
wet season Wettest months and the peak of hurricane season.
We are in the Atlantic hurricane season (June 1 to November 30).
El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).
In Belize it tends to bring drier conditions, with drought risk. El Niño usually means fewer Atlantic hurricanes (but not none: one landfall is enough).
These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.
Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.
Where will it rain most? Forecast by city
Total rain each day, in inches. Wettest cities first.
| City | Tomorrow | Saturday | Sunday |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orange Walk | 0.94 | 1.3 | 0.83 |
| Placencia | 0.91 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| San Pedro | 1.0 | 0.94 | 1.1 |
| Corozal | 0.94 | 0.75 | 0.51 |
| Belize City | 0.91 | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Dangriga | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| Punta Gorda | 0.47 | 0.91 | 1.0 |
| Belmopan | 0.47 | 0.75 | 1.0 |
| San Ignacio | 0.28 | 0.71 | 0.43 |
Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow National Meteorological Service of Belize.
What do the inches mean?
As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.
Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.