Hurricane Trudy and Lubbock: will it affect me?
Latest official NHC advisory: Friday, October 16 at 7:00 PM CDT. We check every 10 minutes.
Hurricane Trudy · Category 1
No official watches or warnings
- Official alert
- No watch or warning for this area
- The center would pass
- 900 miles from Lubbock
- When (approx.)
- Wednesday, Oct 21, 1 PM CDT
- Strength at that time
- Tropical Depression, winds of 25 mph
- Inside the cone
- No
- Distance now
- 1285 miles
What to do in Lubbock
- There are no official watches or warnings for your area from this storm.
- Rain and surf can still reach far from the storm: follow your local National Weather Service office.
National Weather Service
Official Freeze Warning in effect for Lubbock.
What it means
- Freeze or cold: protect sensitive plants, pets and outdoor pipes. In extreme cold, dress in layers, limit time outdoors and use space heaters and generators safely.
Always follow your local National Weather Service office and local officials. Details below.
Official weather alerts for Lubbock
Freeze Warning until Sat, Oct 17, 10:00 AM CDT
Freeze Warning issued October 16 at 6:27PM CDT until October 17 at 10:00AM CDT by NWS Lubbock TX
Parmer; Castro; Swisher; Briscoe; Bailey; Lamb; Hale; Floyd; Cochran; Hockley; Lubbock; Crosby; Yoakum; Terry; Lynn
Full text from the National Weather Service
FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM CDT SATURDAY
* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28 over the southwestern Texas Panhandle, and as low as 30 elsewhere. * WHERE...Bailey, Cochran, Crosby, Floyd, Hale, Hockley, Lamb, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry, Yoakum, Briscoe, Castro, Parmer, and Swisher Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Instructions: Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Official NWS page · NWS Lubbock TX
Storm Prediction Center · today's severe-storm outlook · issued 1 h ago
Lubbock is outside today's thunderstorm and severe-storm areas.
Official SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (NOAA), valid until Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 AM CDT. It shows the chance of severe storms in the area, not a warning for your street. SPC outlook
U.S. Drought Monitor · map of October 13
78% of Texas is in drought, including 15% in extreme or exceptional drought.
Share of the state's area. Updated every Thursday by the U.S. Drought Monitor (National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA). Drought builds over weeks and months: one rainy day rarely ends it.
Hurricane Trudy forecast, step by step
| Date and time (CDT) | Strength | Max wind | Distance to Lubbock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now Fri, Oct 16, 4:00 PM | Category 1 | 85 mph | 1285 mi |
| Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 AM | Category 1 | 85 mph | 1255 mi |
| Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 PM | Category 1 | 90 mph | 1160 mi |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 AM | Category 1 | 90 mph | 1060 mi |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM | Category 1 | 85 mph | 990 mi |
| Mon, Oct 19, 1:00 AM | Tropical storm | 70 mph | 945 mi |
| Mon, Oct 19, 1:00 PM | Tropical storm | 50 mph | 930 mi |
| Tue, Oct 20, 1:00 PM | Tropical depression | 35 mph | 910 mi |
| Wed, Oct 21, 1:00 PM | Tropical depression | 25 mph | 900 mi |
Hazards on land (NHC)
- Rain: 4 to 8 inches, with isolated totals up to 15 inches across Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. Flash flooding and mudslides are possible, especially in hilly terrain.
- Storm surge: the NHC warns of coastal flooding from rising water, with large and destructive waves near the coast.
- Surf: the NHC warns of life-threatening surf and rip currents. Stay out of the water.
Full NHC text
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning area by late Saturday or Saturday night, with tropical storm conditions spreading across the area on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area by late tonight or early Saturday. Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area by late Saturday, with tropical storm conditions beginning on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area on Sunday.
RAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher totals around 15 inches along and near the southwest Mexican coast in Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.
STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and will spread northward toward west-central Mexico during the next few days. These swells will cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Official watches and warnings
- Hurricane Warning
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes
Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area, usually within 36 hours.
- Hurricane Watch
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Punta San Telmo
Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area; issued about 48 hours before tropical-storm-force winds are expected.
- Tropical Storm Warning
- The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Zihuatanejo
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area within 36 hours.
- Tropical Storm Watch
- The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area within 48 hours.
Weather in Lubbock now
Rain forecast for Lubbock · next days
Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow National Weather Service.
What do the inches mean?
As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.
Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.
What is normal in October in Lubbock
changing season Storms become less frequent, but a smaller second severe-weather season can occur in October and November, mainly in Oklahoma and Texas. The first snow and freeze arrive on the northern Plains.
El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).
On the southern Plains it tends to bring a wetter, cooler winter; the northern Plains tend to be milder and drier.
These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.
Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.
Official sources for Texas
Emergency: 911