Hurricane Trudy and Houston: will it affect me?
Latest official NHC advisory: Thursday, October 15 at 10:00 PM CDT. We check every 10 minutes.
Hurricane Trudy · Category 2
No official watches or warnings
- Official alert
- No watch or warning for this area
- The center would pass
- 930 miles from Houston
- When (approx.)
- Sunday, Oct 18, 1 PM CDT
- Strength at that time
- Category 2 Hurricane, winds of 105 mph
- Inside the cone
- No
- Distance now
- 1150 miles
What to do in Houston
- There are no official watches or warnings for your area from this storm.
- Rain and surf can still reach far from the storm: follow your local National Weather Service office.
Hurricane Trudy forecast, step by step
| Date and time (CDT) | Strength | Max wind | Distance to Houston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Now Thu, Oct 15, 4:00 PM | Category 1 | 90 mph | 1155 mi |
| Fri, Oct 16, 1:00 AM | Category 2 | 110 mph | 1140 mi |
| Fri, Oct 16, 1:00 PM | Category 4 | 130 mph | 1085 mi |
| Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 AM | Category 4 | 145 mph | 1035 mi |
| Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 PM | Category 4 | 140 mph | 990 mi |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 AM | Category 3 | 120 mph | 950 mi |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM | Category 2 | 105 mph | 930 mi |
| Mon, Oct 19, 1:00 PM | Tropical storm | 65 mph | 965 mi |
| Tue, Oct 20, 1:00 PM | Tropical storm | 60 mph | 1010 mi |
Hazards on land (NHC)
- Rain: 4 to 8 inches, with isolated totals up to 12 inches across Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. Flash flooding and mudslides are possible, especially in hilly terrain.
- Rain: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals up to 6 inches across Guerrero. Flash flooding and mudslides are possible, especially in hilly terrain.
- Storm surge: the NHC warns of coastal flooding from rising water, with large and destructive waves near the coast.
- Surf: the NHC warns of life-threatening surf and rip currents. Stay out of the water.
Full NHC text
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area by early Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread into the hurricane watch area on Saturday.
RAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches through the weekend along and near the southwest Mexican coast in Michoacán, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.
STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Trudy will affect portions of the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Official watches and warnings
- Hurricane Watch
- The coast of Mexico north of Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes
Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area; issued about 48 hours before tropical-storm-force winds are expected.
- Tropical Storm Warning
- The coast of Mexico from Punta San Telmo southward to Zihuatanejo
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area within 36 hours.
Weather in Houston now
National Hurricane Center analysis · 3 hours ago
- Cold front: the NHC mentions a front over the Gulf.A cold front is the leading edge of colder, drier air: it brings a line of showers or storms, a wind shift and cooler temperatures.
- Gale Warning at sea (official, NHC) over the Gulf.Gale Warning: winds of 39 to 54 mph over the water and rough seas. It is a marine warning; dangerous surf can reach the coast.
Full NHC discussion text
GALE WARNING: Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest Gulf on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW Gulf by early Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist over the SW Gulf through Sun. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
GULF OF AMERICA: A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean extending through the Yucatan Channel is inducing scattered disorganized convection over much of the southern basin. Some thunderstorms are concentrated in the western Bay of Campeche, where a weak surface trough is present. Otherwise, modest subtropical ridging from high pressure NE of the region is leading to mainly moderate or weaker easterly winds through the basin, with slight to moderate seas.
For the forecast, a ridge will dominate the Gulf region through Fri producing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow and slight to moderate seas. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest Gulf on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW Gulf by late Sat morning. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist over the SW Gulf through Sun. Strong high pressure will follow the front promoting fresh to strong NE to E winds mainly over the eastern half of the Gulf through Tue.
Rain forecast for Houston · next days
Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow National Weather Service.
What do the inches mean?
As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.
Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.
What is normal in October in Houston
changing season Usually one of the drier stretches of the year, but late-season hurricanes are still possible, especially in October.
We are in the Atlantic hurricane season (June 1 to November 30).
El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).
On the Gulf Coast it tends to bring a wetter, cooler and stormier winter. El Niño usually means fewer Atlantic hurricanes (but not none: one landfall is enough).
These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.
Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.
Official sources for Texas
Emergency: 911