Is a hurricane or tropical storm near Morant Bay?
Latest official NHC advisory: Thursday, October 15 at 10:00 PM EST. We check every 10 minutes.
No active tropical cyclones are near Morant Bay.
Active storms stay more than 930 miles away. This page updates itself every 10 minutes.
Weather in Morant Bay now
National Hurricane Center analysis · 4 hours ago
The latest NHC analysis shows no tropical waves, convergence zone or fronts near Morant Bay.
Full NHC discussion text
CARIBBEAN SEA: A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean is supporting scattered moderate convection N of 17N and W of 80W. Otherwise, the seasonal pressure gradient is leading to moderate to fresh trades through the basin, with some strong easterly winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate seas dominate, highest in the south-central basin.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and Fri, then mainly moderate to fresh winds will prevail through the upcoming weekend. Rough seas are expected offshore Colombia with the strongest winds. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a surface trough will continue to affect the NW Caribbean tonight and Fri. Gusty winds and locally rough seas will be associated with this convective activity.
Rain forecast for Morant Bay · next days
Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow Meteorological Service of Jamaica.
What do the inches mean?
As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.
Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.
What is normal in October in Morant Bay
wet season Second and wetter rainy season and the peak of hurricane season; October is often the wettest month.
We are in the Atlantic hurricane season (June 1 to November 30).
El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).
In the Caribbean it tends to bring drier conditions, with drought risk. El Niño usually means fewer Atlantic hurricanes (but not none: one landfall is enough).
These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.
Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.
Official sources for Jamaica
Emergency: 119 (police), 110 (fire and ambulance)