Is a hurricane or tropical storm near Fort Myers?
Latest official NHC advisory: Thursday, October 15 at 11:00 PM EDT. We check every 10 minutes.
No active tropical cyclones are near Fort Myers.
Active storms stay more than 930 miles away. This page updates itself every 10 minutes.
Weather in Fort Myers now
National Hurricane Center analysis · 4 hours ago
- Cold front: the NHC mentions a front over the Gulf and the Atlantic.A cold front is the leading edge of colder, drier air: it brings a line of showers or storms, a wind shift and cooler temperatures.
Full NHC discussion text
GULF OF AMERICA: A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean extending through the Yucatan Channel is inducing scattered disorganized convection over much of the southern basin. Some thunderstorms are concentrated in the western Bay of Campeche, where a weak surface trough is present. Otherwise, modest subtropical ridging from high pressure NE of the region is leading to mainly moderate or weaker easterly winds through the basin, with slight to moderate seas.
For the forecast, a ridge will dominate the Gulf region through Fri producing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow and slight to moderate seas. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest Gulf on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW Gulf by late Sat morning. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist over the SW Gulf through Sun. Strong high pressure will follow the front promoting fresh to strong NE to E winds mainly over the eastern half of the Gulf through Tue.
ATLANTIC OCEAN: A surface trough from 31N52W to near 26N62W is inducing scattered moderate to isolated strong convection within 120 nm E of its axis. A 1012 mb low pressure centered near 21N37W is also generated scattered moderate convection N of its center to about 25N, between 32W and 28W, where fresh E winds and locally rough seas are also pressure. Elsewhere, a mainly weak pressure gradient is leading to moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a ridge will continue to dominate the forecast waters through Fri. A cold front will reach the NE waters on Fri with little change in winds and seas. A stronger cold front will move into the waters off northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat morning, and reach from near Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough to very rough seas will follow the front with gale conditions possible in the vicinity of 31N70W by Sun night.
Rain forecast for Fort Myers · next days
Automatic forecast from a computer model (MET Norway, data CC BY 4.0). Not an official alert: for watches and warnings, follow National Weather Service.
What do the inches mean?
As a rough guide: under a quarter inch in a day is light rain; 1 to 2 inches is a heavy downpour; more than 2 inches in a day is very heavy rain that can flood low-lying areas and roads.
Several rainy days in a row saturate the ground: even a modest storm can then cause flash flooding and rising rivers.
What is normal in October in Fort Myers
changing season The rainy season ends, but October hurricanes, often forming in the Caribbean, have hit South and West Florida many times.
We are in the Atlantic hurricane season (June 1 to November 30).
El Niño is under way, and NOAA expects it to be strong (NOAA, October 8, 2026).
In Florida it tends to bring a wetter, cooler winter dry season, with more severe storms and tornadoes. El Niño usually means fewer Atlantic hurricanes (but not none: one landfall is enough).
These are general tendencies: every year is different, and your local forecast comes first.
Typical climate per NOAA and regional weather services. It describes the season, not the forecast for a given day.
Official sources for Florida
Emergency: 911